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By Fareed Zakaria
Bush should
clearly support his secretary of
State-otherwise he should get a new
one
When George W. Bush was
assembling his "dream team" of
foreign-policy advisers, many
wondered who would resolve the
inevitable clashes between the
Olympians. Not to worry, we were
told. Once the president made a
decision, everyone would fall in
line. There would be no leaks, no
backstabbing, no second-guessing.
These were professionals. That was
the theory. The reality over the
last three weeks has been a bitter
internal war resulting in feckless
foreign policy and the erosion of
American credibility around the
world.
THE ZIGS AND ZAGS of American policy
over the last three weeks are enough
to make you dizzy. When Israel
launched its invasion of the West
Bank on March 30, President Bush
responded by saying, "I fully
understand Israel's need to defend
herself." As the attack grew in size
and severity and protests swelled on
the streets of the Arab world, the
White House switched gears. On April
4, Bush stood with Colin Powell in
the Rose Garden and announced a new
policy. It was a superb speech,
condemning terrorism and pointing
out, correctly, that Yasir Arafat
had brought his troubles upon
himself. Bush called on Arafat to
condemn terrorism. He also called on
Israel to "halt the incursions and
begin withdrawal."
Two days later, after Israel had
barely acknowledged his call, Bush
clarified that he meant "withdrawal
without delay." The next day, as
Colin Powell was leaving on his
mission, CNN's Wolf Blitzer asked
Condoleezza Rice, "Are you ready to
give [the Israelis] a few days to
begin an orderly military retreat?"
Rice replied, "No. 'Without delay'
means without delay. It means now
..." Two days later, when Israel
announced that it was going to leave
two towns, Bush called it "a
beginning," adding, "The Israelis
must continue withdrawing."
Of course they didn't. By then, the
Defense Department and the vice
president's office had declared war
on the president's policy. Having
counseled the White House to ignore
the Israel-Palestine problem for 15
months-advice that proved
disastrously wrong-they were now
determined to cripple Powell's
mission. They recommended that the
president stop issuing statements
supporting the secretary. Congress
jumped in, with Democrats and
Republicans falling all over
themselves to side with Ariel Sharon
rather than George W. Bush. The
Christian right and the
neoconservatives lobbied the White
House nonstop, denouncing the
secretary of State while he was
meeting foreign leaders.
It worked. The White House caved. By
April 11, Ari Fleischer was
explaining that "the president
believes that Ariel Sharon is a man
of peace." No further statements
urging withdrawal or supporting
Powell were issued. On April 15 the
White House sent Deputy Secretary of
Defense Paul Wolfowitz to speak at a
rally whose purpose was to urge
Israel not to withdraw-at the very
moment that the secretary of State
was in Jerusalem calling on Israel
to withdraw! This was a Clintonian
moment, recalling Clinton's comments
in Seattle that he sympathized with
the protesters-who were protesting
his policies.
Sharon knows Washington and read the
signals. He called Powell's bluff.
Even when Sharon decided to move out
of two more towns, he did not pay
Powell the courtesy of announcing it
at their joint appearance, choosing
to do so on CNN later in the day. A
senior Israeli politician confessed
to me that he was surprised that
Powell "had no arrows in his
quiver."
The president has decided to deal
with defeat by calling it victory,
making his policy even more
confused. On April 17 he repeated
his line that Sharon was a man of
peace and insisted Israel had heeded
his call. (In fact, the Israelis had
begun the operation claiming it
would take three to four weeks, and
they have stuck to that timetable.)
Bush then said he "understood" the
need for the continuing siege of
Ramallah. This explicitly
contradicted his own Rose Garden
speech, which had called for an
immediate Israeli withdrawal-13 days
earlier-"from Palestinian cities,
including Ramallah."
It is for Israelis to decide whether
Sharon's invasion will bring them
security or insecurity in the long
run. (For the most intelligent
critiques of his policy, read
Israel's leading newspaper, Haaretz:
www.haaretzdaily.com.) For America
it has been a disaster. Since
September 11 we have wanted to push
the Arab world on two fronts: first
on internal political reform and
second on Iraq. But with tensions
sky-high, these issues have been
drowned out completely. Now the only
conversation we will have with the
Arabs is the one they always prefer
to have-about Israel and Palestine.
The big winners from Israel's
offensive are Iraq and the political
extremists of the Middle East.
Reform is on the retreat. The head
of al-Azhar, the chief Islamic
center in Cairo, had condemned
suicide bombing in the wake of
September 11. Last week he changed
his mind. Martin Indyk, former
ambassador to Israel, says, "In this
climate the notion that we could get
even Kuwait and Turkey to agree to
an American intervention in Iraq is
farcical."
However we get out of this mess, one
thing is clear. The president cannot
pursue an effective policy without
an undisputed foreign-policy
spokesman. If he will not back his
secretary of State out of
conviction, he should do so out of
calculation-or else replace him. For
now he is following in the footsteps
of another Southern governor with
little foreign-policy experience who
allowed his advisers to battle
perpetually for control of foreign
policy. Do we really want to go back
to the Carter years?
-- Newsweek
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