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BUDGET 2001-2002
Finance Minister SAMS Kibira on June 7 proposed
the national budget for fiscal year 2001-2002 with Tk 44,765 crore total
expenditure shows that overall deficit is set to widen by Tk 665 crore to Tk
17,529 crore from the outgoing fiscal's original deficit estimation of Tk
16,861 crore.
On the other hand, this year's fiscal deficit has also alarmingly overshot the
original estimation by Tk 961 crore to Tk 17,822 crore.
Results of such imbalance are apparent in the revenue expenditure, which shows
that interest repayment is by far the highest sector both for the next
financial year as well as current one, once again raising the issue of
inter-generation equity transfer.
The proposed budget for fiscal 2001-2002 shows Tk 4,560 crore interest
repayment, Tk 3,630 crore on account for domestic loans, and Tk 930 crore to
service foreign loans.
"The continuous increase in interest payment on cumulative loans of the
government, the absorption of development staff in revenue budget and the cost
for operation and maintenance of development projects contribute to swelling
of revenue budget every year," Kibria admitted in his budget speech.
The size of ADP for fiscal 2001-02 has been fixed at Tk 19,000 crore, an
increase of 8.6 per cent from the original target of the current fiscal and
4.39 per cent from the revised one. The original ADP for the present fiscal
(2000-01) was set at Tk 17,500 crore, but later revised to Tk 18,200 crore.
About 51.3 per cent of the resources to implement the ADP in the next fiscal
will come from foreign sources and the rest 48.7 per cent or Tk 9,251 crore
will be financed from domestic resources. Of the domestic resource, Tk 5,201
crore will come from revenue surplus and the rest will come from sale of
saving certificates, other investments, bank borrowing and income from
departments and statutory public authorities.
The proposed budget also shows revenue collection of Tk 27,239 crore from both
NBR and non-NBR sources. This represents a 12.6 per cent growth over this
year's original target. The finance minister has proposed that the Tk 17,526
crore deficit would be financed by Tk 10,222 crore from foreign sources, Tk
5,146 crore from domestic sources and Tk 2,158 crore by borrowing from the
banking system. The proposed bank borrowing has been kept significantly lower
from this year's original Tk 3,514 crore.
Duty up,
Duty Cut
Major Features
Budget at a Glance: 2001-2002
Revised
and Original Budget: 2000-01
Reaction on Proposed Budget
Duty up
The new budget for fiscal 2001-02 has proposed enhancement of import duty on a
number of consumer goods and industrial items to give incentive to local
industries.
These are:
Biscuits, chocolates, waffles and wafers (10 pc).
Rice (25 pc)
Household goods including table and kitchen wares made of ceramics (30
pc).
Acrylic plastic and poly carbonate sheet made from different materials
including polymethyl methacrylate (5 pc).
Spares of fan (25 pc) and lock (25 pc).
Hydrogen Chloride (hydrochloric acid), medicated adhesive plaster,
aluminium foil backed with paper/paper board, lead oxide, band saw blade (rate
not mentioned).
Fluroscent hot cathode (tube light) (75 pc).
Ballpoint pen (15 pc).
Alum (5 pc), folding cartons, boxes and cases made of non-corrugated paper
and paper board but excluding duplex outer shell used for packing match sticks
(25 pc).
Woven textile fabrics based on emary powder (15 pc).
GI pipe (37.5 pc)
Plastic bathtub, shower tub, wash basin, bidet, lavatory pan, seat and
cover, flushing cistern and similar goods made of plastic (10 pc).
Palmitic acid, its salts and esters or soap noodles (25 pc).
Duty cut
The budget for 2001-02 financial year has proposed reduction of import duty on
some items and exemption of duty and VAT on some others.
Import of power generator and wheel chair will remain exempted from import
duty.
The budget has proposed exemption of 15 pc VAT on jute products.
The budget has also proposed exemption of 10 pc supplementary duty on
locally produced writing and printing paper, self tapping screw, other screw
and bolts, printing ink and locally manufactured medicines up to a maximum
value limit of Tk 2000 in each consignment and up to Tk 6,000 per year to
encourage their export.
Reduction of duty has been proposed for the following items:
CNG driven and battery operated three wheelers (15 pc).
Match splints (15 pc).
Art paper and art card (15 pc), raw materials for paper industry, kraft
paper (unbleached) (15 pc), paper board (multi ply) (15 pc).
Locally made plastic shoes and sandals will enjoy VAT exemption up to Tk
45 per pair.
Locally made printed poly propylene film, metalised or non-metalised (5
pc).
Push button Amp (10 pc).
Petroluem Jelly (7.5 pc).
Dates (both fresh and dried) (15 pc).
Onion (fresh) (5pc).
Pectin substances, pectinates and pectates (used in fruit processing (15
pc).
Liquid chocolates (25 pc), flavour (15 pc), cocoa powder (15 pc), butter
milk powder used by biscuit and chocolate industries (25 pc), mango pulp (25
pc).
Ball point for ball point pen (15 pc), ink for ball point pen (25 pc),
lamp shell (15 pc), synthetic rubber (5 pc).
Bicycle tube valve (15 pc), asceptic pack (5 pc), chalk stone (5 pc),
aluminium oxide (5 pc), zirconium silicate (5 pc), drinking water purifier (25
pc), vacuum pumps (5 pc), autoconer spare parts (5 pc), glass wool (5 pc),
wiremesh plated or coated with zinc (5 pc) and prefabricated building (5 pc).
Major Features
Tk 10,867 crore allocation for poverty alleviation
Allocation for poverty alleviation in the development and revenue budget for
2001-2002 stands at Tk 10,867 crore or 26 per cent of the proposed budget,
reports UNB.
"In line with the election manifesto of the Awami League, highest priority in
sector-wise allocation has been given to poverty alleviation programmes,"
Finance Minister Shah AMS Kibria said in his budget speech yesterday.
In the ADP for FY 2001-2002, he said, allocation for poverty alleviation
programmes including food for work has been fixed at Tk 6,432 crore, up by 7 per
cent over the last year's.
The allocation for food for work is Tk 622 crore.
In 2000-2001, the ADP allocation for these programmes was Tk 6,006.1 crore.
In the 2001-2002 revenue budget, Kibria said, allocation for poverty alleviation
programmes is proposed to Tk 3,813 crore.
Education sector remains at the top
Education sector got the highest budgetary allocation as usual. Placed in the
Jatiya Sangsad yesterday, the proposed national budget for the fiscal 2001-2002
shows that Tk 6,028 crore has been allocated for the education sector. The
amount constitutes 14.69 per cent of the total expenditure in the combined
revenue and development budget.
Proposed allocation for educa tion in the outgoing fiscal was Tk 5,586 crore,
which rose to Tk 5842 crore in the revised budget.
During the last five years of the Awami League government, the allocation for
education has increased by 66 per cent.
Of the proposed allocation for the fiscal 2001-2002, Tk 1,477 crore will be
spent on salary support to teachers and employees of schools, colleges and
madrassahs. In the Annual Development Programme of the proposed budget, Tk 1405
crore has been allocated for primary and non-formal education, Tk 718 crore for
secondary and higher education, Tk 107 crore for technical education and Tk 81.5
crore for university education.
The new budget has laid special emphasis on the expansion of technical
education. Seventeen crore taka has been allocated for the establishment of
three new polytechnic institutes for women at three divisional headquarters.
Moreover, Tk 21 crore has been earmarked for modernisation of 20 existing
polytechnic institutes and establishment of 15 such new ones.
In the coming financial year, Tk 200 crore will be spent on stipend for the
female students of secondary schools, while Tk 112 crore on stipend in the
primary education. And Tk 14.28 crore has been allocated for mosque-based mass
education for children.
No major changes in income tax rates
Some changes in the existing income tax system have been proposed in the budget
for fiscal 2001-02 to make tax payment system easier, expand the tax net and to
help small industries grow. The current rates of income tax will however
continue, Finance Minister SAMS said in his budget speech in the Jatiya Sangsad
yesterday.
To remove the hurdle for small tax payers, the finance minister suggested
re-fixing the income limit for payment of advance income tax from Tk one lakh to
Tk two lakh.
Tax payers having income below Tk 2,00,000 will not be required to pay advance
income tax. They will pay their due income tax at the time of submission of
income tax return.
To avoid complexity in collection of tax at source, the budget proposed to
withdraw collection of tax at source by airlines on the agency commission paid
to travel agents. Income tax will be collected from the travel agents under
normal procedure.
Tax exemption till June 2005 has been proposed on income from seed production,
marketing of locally produced seed and poultry feed production.
Income from fishery, poultry etc is now enjoying tax exemption till June 2005.
The proposed budget includes amusement and theme park, holiday home, tourist
resort, family fun and games in the tourist industry, which now enjoys tax
holiday.
"Such tourist industries set up before June 2005 will enjoy tax holiday for five
to seven years depending on their location," he said. The measures have been
proposed to encourage private sector investment in tourism, he said.
The budget proposed reduction of tax to Tk 1000 for business establishments
having capital of less than Tk five lakh irrespective of their locations.
Business establishments having less than Tk five lakh capital are now required
to pay a tax of Tk 2500 in city corporations and Tk 1500 in divisional or
district towns.
All other provisions for spot assessment will continue.
The budget proposed that the amount of perquisites in excess of Tk 132000 paid
by employers to employees to implement wage board constituted by the government
will be made admissible deductions. All companies, irrespective of profit
declaration, will have to submit tax return.
Now, companies are not required to submit tax return as long as they do not
declare any profit.
|
RESOURCES |
|
1.
|
Revenue Receipts
|
27239 |
|
2.
|
Foreign Loans
|
6659 |
|
3.
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Borrowing from Banking System |
2158 |
|
4.
|
Foreign Grants |
3183 |
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5.
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Domestic Capital (Net)
|
2237 |
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6.
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Self Financing by Autonomous Bodies |
250 |
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7.
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T&T Bond |
200 |
|
|
Total |
42306 |
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USE OF RESOURCES |
|
1.
|
Non Development Budget
|
22038 |
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2.
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Annual Development Budget
|
19000 |
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3.
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Non-ADP FFW included in Development Budget |
622 |
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4.
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Net Outlay for Food Account Operation |
362 |
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5.
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Non ADP Projects
|
284 |
|
|
Total |
42306 |
Revised and
Original Budget 2000-2001
|
Statement No |
Description |
Revised 2000-01 |
Budget 2000-01 |
|
|
Resources |
|
|
|
I |
Revenue Receipts |
24173 |
24198 |
|
IV |
Foreign Grants |
2929 |
3183 |
|
IV |
Foreign Loans |
5993 |
6238 |
|
V |
Domestic Capital (Net) |
2338 |
941 |
|
VIII |
T & T Bond |
200 |
200 |
|
VIII |
Self Financing by
Autonomous Bodies |
250 |
250 |
|
X |
Borrowing from Banking
System |
3764 |
3514 |
|
|
Total: |
39647 |
38524 |
|
|
Use of Resources |
|
|
|
II |
Non Development Budget
|
20662 |
19633 |
|
VIII |
Annual Development
Programme |
18200 |
17500 |
|
IX |
Non-ADP FFW Included in
Development Budget |
773 |
583 |
|
VII |
Net Outlay for Food
Account Operation |
-121 |
395 |
|
IV |
Non ADP Projects |
133 |
413 |
|
|
Total: |
39647 |
38524 |
REACTION
Economists
Eminent economists of the country have expressed deep concern over the
rising revenue expenditure and subsequent meeting of such spending
through costlier domestic borrowing.
They also said the weak external balance poses a serious threat, which
has to be tackled effectively.
Muzaffar Ahmed
Member, Trustee Board, Transparency International Bangladesh (TIB)
chapter and renowned economist Muzafar Ahmed has termed the national
budget for the fiscal 2001-02 as a dishonest budget. The TIB member
said that the finance minister projected a over-ambitious revenue
income. He projected that the revenue income would increase by Tk 3.0
billion in the 2001-02 fiscal. But during the current fiscal revenue
income missed the target.
Muzaffar Ahmed said that it was projected that income from dividend
and profit would be Tk 8.4 billion but in fact in the current fiscal
income from this sector would miss the target. In the revised budget
income from this sector was shown as Tk 7,74 billion.
In the same manner, an increased income of Tk 8.00 billion from VAT
(value added tax) was projected. But during the current fiscal income
from this sector would increase by only Tk 2.00 billion. In this way,
the finance minister projected an unrealistic revenue income, Ahmed
observed. He said that the finance minister played with the numbers
game. he had shown that the per capita income during the BNP regime
increased by Tk 27 and during the Awami League regime it increased by
Tk 48. But if the devaluation is taken into account, the per capita
income during the BNP regime increased by 70 cents and it was only 80
cents during the Awami League regime, he pointed out. "This is a
dishonest exercise and a man of finance minister's stature should not
have done it", Muzaffar Ahmed said. He also projected that if the
Awami League emerged victorious in the next general election, new
taxes would be imposed through SRO (statutory regulatory order) to
augment the revenue income.
President, Chittagong Chamber of Commerce and Industry (CCCI), Farid
Ahmed in his initial reaction said that reduction of tax and duties
were presented prominently in the budget documents but increase of tax
and duties were presented in the annexture. For this reason it is not
possible to give a full-fledged reaction to the budget, he remarked.
He said as per the guidelines of the WTO it was proposed to reduce
customs duty but considering its adverse impact, it was proposed to
impose supplementary duty.
Bangladesh Chamber of Industries (BCI) President Khandaker Mosharraf
Hossain, Bgmea President Kutubuddin Ahmed and the Women Entrepreneurs
Association President Nasreen Awal Mintoo hailed the proposed budget
and termed it as realistic.
Bangladesh Money Chambers association (BMCA) President Kefayetullah
Masud in his reaction said that keeping the foreign exchange reserve
at a critical or fragile stage a country like Bangladesh cannot expect
dynamism in the national economy.
He said during 1994-95, the foreign exchange reserve was 3.47 billion
US dollars, it was 2.04 billion dollars in 1996 and at present it was
only 1.8 billion dollars.
He said due to a weak approach and unrealistic steps of the central
bank, foreign remittance worth 8.00 billion dollars could not be
deposited to the central bank's account.
He proposed introduction of auction system to fix the exchange rates
of the remittance. UNB adds: Economists see the proposed new budget as
a "flat" one, intending to disturb none of the consumers and producers
and avoid strong reforms like accelerating privatisation.
Professor of Economics of Dhaka University Abu Ahmed said the budget
avoided contentious issues. "There is nothing about privatisation, or
reforms in other areas," he said in a quick reaction over the proposed
budget.
He appreciated the budgetary projection of a lower borrowing, but
apprehended whether it would be maintained as the borrowing had
already exceeded the target in the current budget.
Nothing is stated about why 10.5 per cent depreciation of local
currency against the dollar was needed when inflation remained so low,
what impact the adjustment really brought to exports and reserves, how
much debt-servicing went up due to the adjustment, Prof Ahmed pointed
out.
"The budget speech also lacked any explanation about why the reserve
dropped to such a critical level," he noted.
No additional incentive was offered for capital market. Corporate tax
was required to be lowered to invite new corporate house, both local
and foreign, to spur the moribund capital market, he felt.
In a quick reaction to budget proposals, development economist Dr
Quazi Kholiquzzaman Ahmed appreciated that the contribution of
agriculture and farmers to the economy was recognised.
He also appreciated the special focus given on environment protection,
but said the issue of adaptation with the environmental changes had
been left out.
Social sectors like education and health have been given reasonably
enhanced allocations, but mechanism to ensure smooth implementation is
absent. He also felt the need for a strong mechanism to reduce
corruption from the overall system.
"In order to get the proposals implemented and achieve the results
intended, you need proper mechanism to reduce waste and corruption and
ensure efficient use of resources," said Dr QK Ahmed, the chief
executive of Bangladesh Unnayan Parisahd (BUP), a local think tank
Dr Wahiduddin Mahmud
Dr Wahiduddin Mahmud of Dhaka University and Dr Debapriya
Bhattacharya, Executive Director of the Centre for Policy Dialogue (CPD),
were giving their reaction yesterday on the proposed budget for fiscal
2001-2002.
"This year's budget essentially represents an exercise in maintaining
continuity," Dr Wahiduddin Mahmud said. "For understandable reasons,
there are no major new initiatives because the government that will
have the responsibility of implementing the proposed budget is not in
place yet." However, even preparing merely a budget for continuity
involves some problems. Budgetary projections and framing of the
underlying policies have to be based on an evaluation of prevailing
macroeconomic trends, he said.
The renowned economist noted the problem is that the 'economic
indicators have undergone ups and downs' during the last one year. The
first half of the current fiscal year saw the highest growth in
industrial production and export since 1994-95 but there have been
some adverse developments since then. Export earnings, in particular,
have taken a dip putting pressure on the external reserves and
resulting in the recent devaluation of Taka. The 'full-year
macroeconomic scenario that emerges is still very respectable compared
to the previous years,' but projections based on this scenario may be
misleading. A lot will depend on how far the recent adverse
developments can be overcome.
"At this moment, I would take more seriously the issue of external
deficits rather than that of budgetary deficits. The higher growth in
industrial production had led to an upswing in import demand, which is
one factor behind the balance of payments problem. Large-scale
manufacturing in Bangladesh is highly import-intensive because of the
absence of local industries producing machinery and intermediate
goods. The proposed budget has sought to provide incentives to
domestic industries by recasting some import duties and through other
support measures. But if investments and industrial production,
besides that for export, really pick up again, as it did in the early
part of this fiscal, the consequent balance of payments problem will
have to be effectively tackled."
Dr Mahmud observed that in the present circumstances, maintaining the
existing financial support to certain export items has been a wise
decision. The question is whether the existing set of incentives will
be enough. It seems reasonable to extend the facility to other
promising export items that cannot take advantage of the duty drawback
scheme. It is true that the burden on the budget on this count is
already substantial. In future, it will be necessary to lower some of
the existing rates of subsidy, particularly the 20 per cent subsidy on
cloth export, to more reasonable levels. Besides, providing some
income tax benefits on export earnings may also be considered at least
as a temporary measure.
He pointed out that inspite of the decline in foreign aid
disbursements, development spending as a proportion of GDP has rather
increased. For two successive years now, development spending has
exceeded the target, which is a reversal of the previous experience.
During the last five years, the proportion of domestic financing of
the development budget has increased to nearly 60 per cent from about
40 per cent. However, while the country has become more self-reliant,
the same cannot be said about the budget itself.
The main source of domestic financing has been the government's
domestic borrowing, rather than the surplus of the revenue budget, he
said. Compared to the previous fiscal year, the government's borrowing
from the banking system in the current fiscal year is estimated to be
only slightly lower at Tk 3,700 crore. The proposed budget shows such
borrowing to exceed Tk 2000 crore in the coming year. Besides, net
receipts from the sale of savings certificates have sharply increased
to exceed Tk 2000 crore.
"The government's borrowing from the banking sector may not appear to
be that risky given the prevailing low rate of domestic inflation. But
continuous large-scale borrowing leads to large debt repayment
liabilities, thus creating a vicious cycle of public debt. According
to the proposed budget, next year's payments of interest on domestic
bank borrowing, estimated at about Tk 3,630 crore, will far exceed
that year's fresh borrowing. Besides, if development spending is
financed by domestic borrowing, ultimately it affects the external
defiicts as well."
In the face of the decline in foreign aid, Dr Mahmud said, there has
been an increased reliance on foreign suppliers' credit for financing
development projects. Commercial rates of interest are charged on this
kind of credit and the repayment schedule starts almost immediately.
This may thus put additional burden on the balance of payments in the
coming years. In view of its growing importance, suppliers' credit
should be shown separately from external financing so that cautious
policies can be pursued in this respect.
He said that for the first time in recent years, revenue earnings have
reached the target and have probably increased, and not declined, as a
proportion of GDP. For the coming year, revenue earnings are projected
to rise at an equally respectable 13 per cent rate. But the success in
this respect will greatly depend on what happens to the trends in
industrial production and external trade. On the other hand, he said,
revenue expenditure as a proportion of GDP was increasing, even if
slowly, throughout the 1990s. Revenue expenditure increased by 12 per
cent, instead of the projected six per cent, in the current fiscal
year. The projected increase from the next year again by about six per
cent may not therefore appear very credible. Salary hikes, the
continuing process of transfer of manpower from development projects
and placing them under the revenue budget and the increased interest
payments on domestic borrowing have all combined to make it difficult
to restrain the growth of revenue expenditure.
The leading economist mentioned that various steps have been taken in
the recent years to boost the government's revenue earnings.
Considerable success has been achieved in increasing revenue from
income tax and domestic VAT. In the current fiscal year, income tax
collection is estimated to have increased by more than 20 per cent.
Even then, the incidence of tax evasion is extremely high in
Bangladesh and the tax-GDP ratio is one of the lowest among developing
countries, he said. During the last four years, he pointed out,
holders of black money were been given the opportunity of making their
income legal by paying taxes at a minimum rate but the response was
rather poor. This puts into question the credibility of tax policies.
Dr mahmud observed, "It will be necessary to take politically
difficult and bold measures to overcome the structural weaknesses of
the budget." By floating the idea of forming two commissions for
reviewing public expenditure and for stepping up the revenue earning
efforts, the finance minister has, in effect, left such reforms as
part of a future agenda, he said.
Dr Debapriya Bhattacharya
Dr Debapriya Bhattacharya said a major task of the government in the
next fiscal year would be to cut down budget deficit, utilise more
foreign funds and borrow money from cheaper domestic sources. "There
is nothing one can do on income side but one thing the government
should do is prudent expenditure management aiming at fiscal
consolidation and backstopping of balance of payment (BOP)," Dr
Bhattacharya said analysing the proposed for fiscal 2001-02.
About the finance minister's commitment to form Public Expenditure
Review Commission, he said the task of that commission should be to
frame 'Fiscal Responsibility and Budgetary Management Act' aiming at
limiting budget deficit, public debt and issuing of bonds.
Dr Bhattacharya said the budget framers deserve some credit for making
it in a fragile fiscal situation. They were not unaware of the
situation and that is why they tried to keep revenue expenditure far
below the revenue income.
He mentioned that the estimated revenue expenditure for the next
fiscal year is 5.6 per cent of GDP as against a revenue income of 12.7
per cent. But, he cautioned, if revenue expenditure cannot be kept
within the budgeted target as happened in this fiscal year (2000-01),
some serious problems could arise.
This year, actual revenue expenditure was 11.2 per cent of GDP against
the budgeted target of 6.3 per cent.
But the most worrying thing, according to Dr Bhattacharya, is the
increasing public expenditure that grew by 10 per cent in real terms
this year and overshot the budgeted target. Public expenditure this
year stands at 12 per cent of GDP as against the target of 6.4 per
cent. "The growth rate of public expenditure has almost doubled and
the most dangerous thing is that it has happened on borrowed money,"
Bhattacharya said.
Analysing the public expenditure pattern this year, he said public
administration topped the list with 20.7 per cent followed by domestic
interest payment (19.4 per cent) and power and energy (14.3 per cent).
Almost the same thing is going to happen in the coming fiscal year as
19.7 per cent of total public expenditure will go for administration
and 9.8 per cent for domestic interest payment.
Giving an analysis of the revenue expenditure in this fiscal year, the
noted economist said faster growth was in salary and allowances, which
is 28.8 per cent of the total revenue expenditure, followed by
subsidies and transfers (27 per cent) and interest payment (20 per
cent). "These three account for more than 75 per cent of the total
revenue expenditure."
Dr Bhattacharya mentioned that the government borrowing from non-bank
sources in the form of saving certificate has increased more than the
target this year and it is really worrying as the interest on this
sort of borrowing is more than that of the bank sources.
"It is better to borrow from banks, if necessary, as banks have excess
liquidity and the government will have to pay lower interest."
Talking on savings, the economist said it grew by 0.88 per cent, one
of the lowest in South Asia, to 18.76 per cent of GDP in fiscal
2000-01 and national savings grew by 0.68 per cent.
The most disturbing thing is that the rate of investment growth was
less than that of savings growth. Investment growth was 0.61 per cent
and it reached 23.63 per cent from 23.02 per cent of GDP.
Turning to investment, Dr Bhattacharya said 82 per cent of the
investment came from public sector, while only 18 per cent from
private sector. He termed the situation 'a hesitant participation of
the private sector in investment'. If there is no improvement in
savings-investment balance, the country could fall into mid-term
crisis, he thought.
At the same time, he said, increase in sale of saving certificates
might have a negative impact on private investment.
Reviewing the revenue growth and tax structure this year, the renowned
economist observed that the most praiseworthy thing is that 15 per
cent of the revenue earnings came from direct tax. However revenue is
still very much dependent on import duty as 46 per cent of it comes
from this source. In this context, he pointed out that if import
falls, revenue income also falls dramatically but the rise in import
creates balance of payment problem. on.
He mentioned that the revenue-GDP ratio, which is nine per cent this
year, is far below what it should be. If the targeted revenue could be
earned next year, the tax-GDP ratio, which would be 9.6 per cent,
would still fall below the rates in other least developed countries.
He suggested raising it to over 10 per cent.
He criticised the revenue target set for the next year with only 12.7
per cent growth. The NBR portion of revenue registered a growth of
14.7 per cent this year whereas the targeted growth next year has been
set at 13.2 per cent. "On all heads, the target for the next fiscal
year is lower than that this year. If any one thinks this year's
growth was extra ordinary, then there is nothing to comment."
Dr Bhattacharya, however, noted that for the first time in last 10
years, GDP growth rate crossed six per cent this year.
A sizable portion (44.6 per cent) of the growth came from the 'real
economy' agriculture and industryand this is a good sign, he said. But
an issue of concern is that per capita income grew by only 1.6 per
cent in terms of dollar and stood at 369 dollars, one of the lowest
even in South Asia.
Dr Bhattacharya said the most praiseworthy thing is that the growth
was achieved in a situation of low inflation and there was safety net
programmes for the leftouts in the growth process. Business community
Various trade and business organisations, including chamber bodies,
expressed mixed reactions to the new budget placed in parliament
Thursday last.
Most of the organisations identified the budget as a pro-election one
sans any new vision but hailed it for reducing duties on import of raw
materials, raising taxes on finished products and increasing sectoral
allocations.
A good number of organisations, however, expressed their concern over
the worsening of fiscal balance with significant rise in public
borrowings and criticised the government for not taking any measures
for development of the capital market and improving the foreign
exchange reserve.
They identified the budget as devoid of measures to reduce public
expenditure, improve capital market, foreign exchange reserve
situation and support development of backward linkage industries.
Making the highest allocations for poverty alleviation, education,
health, infrastructure and liberal approach to income tax and special
support for agriculture was, however, highly appreciated by the
organisations.
No policy initiative to revive capital market: FBCCI
The Federation of Bangladesh Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FBCCI),
expressed mixed reactions Friday to the newly announced national
budget for the 2001-2002 fiscal.
Addressing a press conference, the FBCCI leaders expressed their
dissatisfaction over the advance income tax system for investors and
said they expected that the government officials would be brought
under the tax-net.
"Dual policy cannot be run in one country," commented the president of
the FBCCI, Yussuf A Harun.
Referring to India's allocation of 250 billion rupees for the textile
sector, he said there was no separate allocation and guideline in the
budget for flourishing backward linkage industries in the country.
He also observed that there was no policy initiative in the budget to
revive the capital market.
The business leader said their proposal to withdraw supplementary duty
on raw materials was not reflected in the budget.
Pointing to relatively less tax for non-government organisations
(NGOs), FBCCI leaders said they are facing unequal competition in
different businesses with NGOs as they had to pay only 40 per cent tax
which was reduced to 25 per cent in Thursday's budget.
They said they would reiterate their demand to the government for
broadening the definition of the cottage industries.
The business leaders, however, hailed the government for taking
pragmatic steps in different sectors including agriculture, education
and health sectors.
They also expressed the view that there would be a positive impact on
the agro-based industries and other local industries due to the
proposed budget.
The FBCCI leaders, however, mentioned that they would urge the finance
minister and the National Board of Revenue (NBR) to reconsider their
demands during a meeting scheduled to be held Tuesday.
It doesn't have any major new vision : MCCI
The Metropolitan Chamber of Commerce and Industry (MCCI) has stated
that the proposed budget for fiscal 2001-02 "skirts" the issue of
increasingly deteriorating fiscal and external imbalances that may
have long-term ramifications on the economy on many fronts.
In its reaction expressed through a press release to the proposed
budget, the MCCI stressed the need for balancing between fiscal
prudence and stimulus for the economy while noting that the task will
be a challenging one for subsequent years even though the growth trend
remains otherwise positive.
The MCCI statement was issued by its Acting Chairman Tapan
Chowdhury.
The chamber in its reaction said: "The 2001-2002 Budget placed by the
finance minister on June 7, 2001 is basically a 'holding', election
year budget as expected, and does not have any major new vision or
approach. There are some positive features such as continued support
for agriculture and agro-processing, jute and textile industries,
reduction of taxes on pre-fabricated building materials, reduction and
rationalisation of VAT and Customs duties for industries."
While pointing out that no new taxes have been imposed under the
proposed budget that "is designed to appeal to all sections of
society," the MCCI observed, "the successive fiscal stimuli applied to
the economy has had the desired expansionary and growth effects,
particularly in agriculture, but the question now is one of
sustainability."
It stated: "The budget skirts the issue of the increasingly
deteriorating fiscal and external imbalances which will have long-term
ramifications on the economy on many fronts. The recurring expenditure
of the government during the current fiscal has exceeded the budgeted
amount by over Tk 10 billion (1,000 crore), financed mainly through
increased non-bank borrowing. The increasing national debt and
increasingly expensive foreign aid do not bode well for the future in
terms of crowding out capital for private investment, raising interest
rates, and increasing the burden of external debt servicing.
"There is no alternative to administrative reforms and containment of
the recurring expenditure of the government but this has not been
addressed at all. The ADP increase projected in the budget is a mere
4.4 per cent in terms of taka, i.e., just about covering inflation.
There is a need for a new vision in ADP planning, where the Public
Sector Corporations like PDB and BTTB finance their own investments
(or not expand it at all), instead of relying on an increasingly tight
GOB (government of Bangladesh) budget, which should concentrate more
and more on social sectors and poverty alleviation," according to the
MCCI.
"Furthermore", the MCCI observed, "the burden of the SOE losses
continue to increase and be out of the budget hidden through directed
credit from NCBs. But these unpaid 'bills' will eventually have to be
picked-up by the GOB through the budget. Privatisation is, therefore,
reaching emergency status, but this is again not reflected in the
current budget.
"The foreign currency reserves and external balance have meanwhile
reached a crisis proportion and this is also not addressed in the
budget, particularly in view of current recessionary conditions in
major export markets and increasing imports fuelled by fiscal
stimulus," the MCCI said.
"Therefore, while growth trends," the MCCI said "are positive,
balancing between fiscal prudence and stimulus for the economy will be
the challenge in subsequent budget exercises."
DCCI regrets ignoring of its recommendations
Reducing wasteful public expenditure, improvement of capital market
and foreign-exchange reserve and fund supports for backward-linkage
industry are among the missing points of the proposed new budget.
The premier chamber in its budget-evaluation meeting, however,
appreciated Friday the reduction of duties on some raw materials,
continuation of export supports and higher allocations for education
and poverty alleviation.
But, it said, "industrialisation and creation of employment have not
received proper attention in the budget... Privatisation has been
fully neglected."
The meeting, chaired by the chamber's acting president,
Mahbub-Uz-Zaman, noted with concern that the government planned to
borrow from domestic sources to make up part of the Tk 175.26 billion
(17526-crore) budget deficit. Borrowing from banks would reduce the
availability of funds for private-sector investment, it observed.
Major recommendations put forward by the DCCI remained ignored, making
the exercise of pre-budget discussions, virtually useless, the chamber
noted with regret.
It put forward a 26-point recommendation, including allocation for
effective steps for good governance and controlling smuggling and
terrorism, to be reflected in the budget before being passed by the
House.
The chamber strongly pleaded that the government employees should be
brought on to tax net in order to reduce the pressure on the private
sector to pay more in taxes.
Besides, the budget should have directions to salvage capital market,
the chamber felt, seeking duty reduction on more raw materials and
capital machinery.
BKMEA
Bangladesh Knitwear Manufacturers and Exporters Association (BKMEA) at
a meeting Thursday hailed the budget for its support to develop the
knitwear industry. BKMEA president Manzurul Haque appreciated the
budget for a special subsidy of taka two billion for using domestic
raw materials in RMG industry, reducing duties on import of covered
van and fabricated building materials. The BKMEA executives also
thanked the finance minister for waiving duties on import of spare
parts used in export-oriented industries.
Political Parties
Different political parties and organisations brought out processions
and held rallies in the city yesterday hailing and denouncing the
proposed budget for 2001-2002 fiscal.
The Dhaka city unit of Awami League brought out a procession from its
central office at Bangabandhu Avenue at 6:15pm welcoming the budget.
Jatiya Sramik League also brought out a separate procession and held a
rally hailing the proposed budget.
City AL joint-secretary Akhterul Alam led the procession. Later, a
rally was held in front of the Jatiya Press Club. Akhter said the
government of Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina presented a people-oriented
budget.
He said the country under the dynamic leadership of Sheikh Hasina
achieved tremendous development in last five years and the proposed
bud get is the reflection of the development. Other AL leaders
congratulated the prime minister, Finance Minister SAMS Kibria and
other members of the cabinet for presenting a pro-people budget.
Meanwhile, denouncing the budget BNP and its different front
organisations brought out a procession from its central office at Naya
Paltan at 6:30pm and paraded different city streets. Later, they held
a rally also in front of the Jatiya Press Club.
BNP Secretary General Abdul Mannan Bhuiyan, and city BNP President
Sadeque Hossain Khoka MP and General Secretary Abdus Salam addressed
the rally.
Mannan Bhuiyan said the AL, which is totally isolated from the people,
failed to resolve their problems. The public expressed their
no-confidence in the government years ago and went ahead with a
movement to press for its immediate resignation.
Rejecting the proposed budget, he said it has been tailored to serve
the ruling party's purposes and to hoax the people. He said the
overall economy of the country is sluggish due to misdeed, corruption
and wrongdoing of the government.
The BNP secretary general said the foreign currency reserves have come
down to the lowest level and all the economic indicators have shown
negative trend.
Prior to the proposed budget, he said, the government approved a large
number of phony projects and allocated several hundred crores of taka
among the AL leaders.
He called upon the people to topple the government from power through
voting in the upcoming general election and establish a people's
government under the leadership of Khaleda Zia. Sadeque Hossain Khoka
termed the proposed budget 'anti-people' and 'anti-development'. He
said the budget was presented ahead of the election purely to hoax the
people. It does in no way reflect the country's real economic
situation.
Like the previous Awami League budgets, he said this one, too, will
not be able to achieve its revenue income target. Rather, it will
increase revenue expenditure and hamper development targets. Jatiya
Party (Matin-Naziur) in its instant reaction said the proposed budget
is a document of the present government's forgery and looting and is
nothing but an attempt to legitimise the looting by the Awami League
men.
In a statement, its acting chairman Prof. MA Matin said the budget
speech is full of falsehood and tall talks and aimed to influence the
upcoming election.
Bangladesh Chamber of Industries (BCCI) President Khandaker Mosharraf
Hossain and its vice-president AK Azad hailed the proposed budget,
saying that it has given top priority on education, health,
agriculture and infrastructure sectors. They hoped that it would
expedite the ongoing development of the country.
President of Bangladesh Garment Manufacturers and Exporters
Association (BGMEA) Kutubuddin Ahmed also hailed the budget for giving
increased allocation for the education, agriculture and transport
sectors.
He however demanded special allocation for the garment sector,
especially for the backward linkage, for industrial development of the
country.
Bangladesh Money Changers Association in a statement said though there
has been some positive indicators in the economy, there has been no
development in the foreign currency reserves. It said the highest
reserves of 347 crore US dollars were in 1994-95 fiscal, which have
now come down to 11 crore US dollars. The overall economy of the
country cannot be dynamic if the foreign currency reserves are in a
miserable condition.
The Federation of Bangladesh Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FBCCI)
will formally give its responses to the budget proposals today, while
other major chamber bodies will come up with specific observations in
a day or two.
The Consumer Association of Bangladesh (CAB) criticised the proposed
budget, saying that it does not show any direction towards national
development.
In an instant reaction yesterday, it termed the proposed the annual
balance sheet a 'face-saving' one. It said like the previous years, it
preserves the interest of businessmen instead of that of the
consumers.
The Samajtantrik Chhatra Front led by its President Nurul Islam
brought out a procession in the city and chanted slogans against the
budget. Its leaders said the budget is against the students in
particular and education in general.
The Dhaka Inter-district Bus, Microbus and Minibus Sarak Paribahan
Sramik Union brought out a procession from Fulbaria bus terminal,
congratulating the new budget.
President and general-secretary of the union, Nurul Amin Nuru and
Kamrul Islam respectively, thanked Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina and
Finance Minister Shah AMS Kibria for presenting to the nation a
people-oriented budget, which also is balanced, and timely.
Saifur predicts a bankrupt economy
Former finance minister and BNP lawmaker M Saifur Rahman said the
proposed budget would lead the country towards a weak and bankrupt
economy.
He said that the next caretaker government would face serious
difficulties in running the country with the foreign currency reserve
declining below one billion dollars.
Saifur said the revenue collection decreased but the expenditure of
the government increased. While giving an instant reaction to BBC
Bangla Service last night, the former minister observed that the rate
of inflation declined because of stagnant economy.
He said domestic interest of the government rose so high that it
surpassed the defence expenditure of the country.
Saifur termed the fiscal management of the government 'very poor'.
Expansionary fiscal measure and reckless bank borrowing created an
unsustainable situation in the economy, he added.
Meanwhile, former planning minister and BNP leader Dr. A Moyeen Khan
said the proposed budget is "not acceptable in principle" and that it
simply reflected an imaginary picture to "deceive the people".
In his reaction, Dr. Moyeen said this government cannot place
budgetary proposals for the sixth time in its tenure since it was
elected for a five-year term.
The announcement of the proposed budget towards the end of its term
demonstrated the ruling party's intention to stay in power beyond its
tenure, he added.
Menon terms Kibria's budget speech a meaningless talk
In a reaction to the proposed budget for fiscal 2001-2002, Workers'
Party president Rashed Khan Menon has said the Finance Minister's
budget speech was a meaningless talk with a lot of wrong explanations,
reports UNB.
"On the eve of a general election, it was his last showdown to draw
the people's attention but the people would not be convinced with such
a speech", said the leftist leader in a discussion meeting on budget
here today.
Rejecting Kibria's claim on the country's development following the
policies of the government, he said the finance minister did not
acknowledge the credit of farmers in harvesting bumper crops.
"He did not even admit that the farmers are incurring losses due to
low price of their produces," Menon said adding "the subsidy in
agriculture sector was not given for the farmers, it was for
fertilizer production and businessmen."
The discussion meeting organised by party's city committee was chaired
by Mozammel Haq Tara.
Sources: UNB, The Daily Star, The Financial Express
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